29 December 2025·5 articles

Volume: 3 Issue: 1 (2025) Serial Number: 4

Cosmological and Astrobiological Review: Journal for the Study of the Universe, Life and the Natural Sciences

9–24
Paraspinal muscle atrophy and intervertebral disc degener- ation under long-duration microgravity: implications for human missions to mars
Crewed missions to Mars will subject the human spine to a stress profile that no prior spaceflight has imposed: roughly 180 days of outbound microgravity, an estimated 500-day sur- face stay at 0.38 g, and a 180-day return — a total of approximately 860 days punctuated by three gravity transitions. International Space Station (ISS) datasets establish that 6-month microgravity exposure produces a 5.3–9.0% reduction in paraspinal cross-sectional area, a 7.3% rise in quad- ratus lumborum fat infiltration, intervertebral disc swelling of 2.1–3.0%, and a post-flight lumbar disc herniation incidence 4.3 times higher than in matched controls. What remains unclear is how these patterns extrapolate to mission durations five times longer and how the partial gravity of the Martian surface alters the deconditioning trajectory. This article addresses that gap. Drawing on twenty Scopus-indexed studies and seven institutional sources, I synthesize ISS imaging data, head-down tilt bed rest analogs (60-day AGBRESA, 5-day DI-5-Cuffs), parabolic flight measure- ments of lunar and Martian gravity, and recent biomechanical finite-element models. The princi- pal original contribution is the construction of a Spinal Deconditioning Index (SDI) — a dura- tion-stratified, region-weighted composite indicator that integrates paraspinal cross-sectional area loss, intramuscular lipid accumulation, intervertebral disc height change, and vertebral bone min- eral density loss into a single value, calibrated against pooled ISS observations and projected to a 30-month Mars-class mission profile. The index is then used to identify three critical risk win- dows: the late outbound transit (mission days 150–180), the immediate return-window after Mar- tian off-loading (mission days 680–710), and the post-landing reloading phase. The analysis sug- gests current countermeasure regimens, optimized for ISS, will leave a residual risk margin of 18– 24% above the lumbar disc herniation threshold during the post-Mars-surface phase, even under the most favorable exercise compliance assumptions. Implications for the architecture of coun- termeasure systems aboard the Mars Transit Vehicle and surface habitat are developed.
25–40
Changes in cerebral circulation and intracranial pressure in astronauts following six-month missions on the interna- tional space station
In 2019, an occlusive thrombus was discovered in the internal jugular vein of an astro- naut during a routine ultrasound study aboard the International Space Station — the first venous thrombosis ever documented in spaceflight. That single finding reframed a decade of research on the cephalad fluid shift. This article examines what six-month missions do to cerebral circula- tion and intracranial pressure, and asks a question the literature has not resolved: why do only some astronauts develop neuro-ocular injury or venous thrombosis when all of them experience the same headward fluid redistribution? I synthesize eighteen Scopus-indexed studies and seven institutional sources covering internal jugular vein flow, dural venous sinus volumes, intracranial pressure measured by invasive and non-invasive means, ventricular and perivascular space ex- pansion on serial MRI, and the effectiveness of lower body negative pressure. Three quantitative anchors organize the synthesis: six of eleven crewmembers showed stagnant or retrograde jugular flow at flight day 50; intracranial pressure in microgravity sits in a chronically mild range, above the upright terrestrial value but below the supine value, with the normal day-night fluctuation abolished; and total ventricular volume rises 11–25% over a six-month mission with only partial recovery on the ground. The original contribution of this article is a Cerebrovenous Adaptation Phenotype framework, which reclassifies the heterogeneous astronaut response into three dis- crete phenotypes — compensated remodeling, congestive-stagnant, and thrombogenic-retro- grade — defined by the pattern rather than the magnitude of jugular outflow change. The frame- work reframes Spaceflight-Associated Neuro-ocular Syndrome and in-flight venous thrombosis not as separate hazards but as two outcomes on a single venous-adaptation spectrum, and it generates a testable prediction: jugular flow pattern assessed early in the mission, near flight day 50, should forecast the subsequent neuro-ocular and thrombotic trajectory. Operational implica- tions for early-mission phenotyping and crew monitoring are developed.
41–56
The Hubble constant (h0) tension between cosmic microwave background measurements and local cepheids: an analysis of systematic errors in the calibration of type ia supernova standard candles
Two methods measure the present expansion rate of the universe and they do not agree. The cosmic microwave background, interpreted through the standard cosmological model, yields a Hubble constant of 67.4 km/s/Mpc; the local distance ladder, built from Cepheid-cali- brated Type Ia supernovae, yields 73.0 km/s/Mpc. The gap has hardened from a curiosity into a roughly 5σ discrepancy that no amount of additional data has dissolved. This article asks a delib- erately narrow version of the broad question: could the discrepancy be an artifact of systematic error in the calibration of Type Ia supernovae as standard candles? Standard error analysis an- swers this by estimating each systematic, propagating it forward, and reporting a total uncertainty — a procedure that, by construction, cannot tell us whether the systematics are large enough to matter. This article introduces a different procedure. I propose inverse systematic-error budget- ing: rather than propagating errors forward, the method starts from the observed tension and computes, for each candidate calibration systematic, the magnitude it would need to have in order to fully close the gap — its closure requirement — and then tests that requirement against the magnitude the data actually permit — its empirical envelope. A systematic qualifies as a viable closure candidate only when its closure requirement falls inside its empirical envelope. Applying the method to eight identified Cepheid and supernova systematics, drawing on seventeen Scopus- indexed studies and seven institutional sources, produces a clear result: the tension demands a coherent offset of approximately 0.17 magnitudes in the distance-ladder zero-point, while no individual systematic has an empirical envelope exceeding 0.06 magnitudes, and the envelopes summed in quadrature reach only 0.11 magnitudes. No single calibration error can close the ten- sion; only an implausible same-sign alignment of all eight systematics at their extreme permitted values could do so. The host-galaxy dust-law degeneracy emerges as the systematic with the wid- est envelope and therefore the highest residual closure viability, identifying it as the priority target for further observational constraint.
57–72
Spectroscopic detection of phosphine and dimethyl sulfide as potential biosignatures in the atmosphere of the sub-nep- tune k2-18b with the jwst/nirspec instrument
The sub-Neptune K2-18b has become the most discussed object in the search for life beyond the Solar System. JWST transmission spectroscopy of its hydrogen-rich atmosphere has yielded firm detections of methane and carbon dioxide and a contested, repeatedly re-examined signal attributed to dimethyl sulfide — a molecule that on Earth is produced almost exclusively by marine life. Phosphine, a second gas long proposed as a biosignature, belongs to the same assessment problem. This article does not attempt to adjudicate whether the dimethyl sulfide signal is statistically real; independent reanalyses disagree, and that disagreement is treated here as data rather than as a question to be settled. Instead, the article advances a conceptual argument that holds whichever way the statistics fall. Drawing on fifteen Scopus-indexed studies and seven institutional sources, I introduce and develop the principle of detection–biogenicity decoupling: on a hydrogen-rich sub-Neptune, the atmospheric properties that maximize the spectroscopic detectability of a candidate biosignature molecule — low mean molecular weight, an extended scale height, a large transit signal, and a reducing photochemistry — are the same properties that maximize its abiotic production and accumulation. Detectability and biogenic diagnosticity are therefore not independent; they are structurally anti-correlated. The very features that make K2- 18b an efficient JWST/NIRSpec target make it an inefficient biosignature target. The principle is supported by three lines of evidence: the spectral degeneracy of the candidate molecules with abiotically plausible species such as ethane in the NIRSpec range; the demonstrated abiotic syn- thesis of dimethyl sulfide in cometary and interstellar environments entirely devoid of life; and the photochemical plausibility of organosulfur and phosphorus chemistry in a hydrogen-domi- nated envelope. The implication is that a NIRSpec detection, however statistically robust, cannot by itself constitute a biosignature on a hydrogen-rich world, and that biosignature assessment must shift from the detection of a molecule to the demonstration that its abundance exceeds the abiotic ceiling for its specific planetary context.
73–88
Epigenetic modifications of DNA methylation in lymphocytes exposed to galactic cosmic radiation: a twin study within the NASA twins study program
The NASA Twins Study is a singular experiment: one identical twin spent a year aboard the International Space Station while his genetically identical brother remained on the ground, and the comparison between them isolated the biology of spaceflight from the confound of ge- netic difference. Among the changes the study documented were alterations in DNA methylation in the astronaut's immune cells, near genes governing immune function. Those changes have since been cited as evidence of how galactic cosmic radiation rewrites the epigenome. This article argues that the citation outruns the evidence. The Twins Study has a sample of one twin pair, and the spaceflight environment it sampled bundles galactic cosmic radiation together with micro- gravity, isolation, sleep disruption, elevated carbon dioxide, and altered diet — so a methylation change observed in the flown twin cannot, on the study's design, be assigned to radiation rather than to any other component of the bundle. Compounding this, the International Space Station orbits within the protection of Earth's magnetosphere, where the galactic cosmic radiation dose is a fraction of what a crew bound for Mars would receive. The original contribution of this article is the Spaceflight–Radiation Methylation Corpus, the first cross-study catalogue of differentially methylated immune-cell loci and functional pathways assembled from eighteen Scopus-indexed studies and cross-classified by exposure source — the spaceflight bundle, isolated ionizing radi- ation, and galactic-cosmic-radiation analog irradiation — and by post-exposure reversibility. The corpus permits, for the first time, a side-by-side reading: a radiation-specific methylation signa- ture, concentrated in DNA-damage-response loci, oxidative-stress genes, and repetitive-element hypomethylation, is partially separable from a spaceflight-general signature concentrated in im- mune-activation and inflammatory pathways. Read against the corpus, the Twins Study lympho- cyte methylation changes overlap predominantly with the spaceflight-general signature, and most reverted after return to Earth. The corpus reframes the interpretive task from detecting a meth- ylation change to locating it within an exposure-resolved and reversibility-resolved reference frame.
Volume: 3 Issue: 1 (2025) Serial Number: 4